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Fed's Goolsbee: Biggest problem facing the economy is inflation
Prices and affordability, that's the biggest prolem we are facing right nowLabor market is stable is stable, without being good This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
European shares end mixed, but DAX and Ibex close at record highs
As London/European traders head for the exits, the major European equity indices are closing mixed, but Germany's DAX and Spain's Ibex stand out after closing at new record highs. The DAX rose 0.26%, while the Ibex added 0.20%, extending the recent run of record-setting performances across European equities. European m
NZDUSD trades within a 49 pip trading range over the last 7 trading days. That is not a lot.
The NZDUSD has been stuck in a narrow 49-pip trading range over the last seven trading days, highlighting a market that has seen plenty of intraday and day-to-day price action but very little net progress.The broader move had been more bullish following the June 26 low, but that momentum has transitioned into a more ne
The buzzwords in the AI investment space are a red flag
So the latest buzzword -- or buzzphrase -- is that "Compute is an investable asset class".It's a line that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is touting and it's throwing up all kinds of red flags for me. Firstly, I'm reminded of very similar wording around crypto near the top, just at the time the Wall Street investment banks pi
Nasdaq and S&P indices little changed on the day. What are the technicals telling traders?
The broader S&P and Nasdaq indices are mixed in intraday trading, with the S&P currently up around 0.07% while the Nasdaq is down -0.08%.For the S&P index, the technical picture remains bullish as the index trades near its all-time high of 7793.68, reached during last week’s trading. A break above that level would put
US July existing home sales 4.06m vs 4.05m expected
Prior was 4.09m (revised to 4.13m)Sales -1.7% vs -2.4% prior (revised to -1.4%)Home prices +2.0% y/yMedian price $434,100Inventory at 4.6 months vs 4.6 months priorThe housing market is in a steady state that isn't helped by high mortgage rates due to rising Treasury yields. There is some steady growth in that chart bu
Pakistani minister comments weigh on oil
Pakistan defense minister Khawaja Asif told Bloomberg that “things are shaping up again in favor of a peace arrangement or a deal,” on Hormuz shipping transits.That's a sharp turnabout after yesterday Trump escalated rhetoric and called for US reparations in response to a similar Iranian call. The countries are close t
AUDUSD is higher in the day after the RBA rate decision
The RBA kept rates unchanged, but the message from the central bank remains firmly in the hold-or-hike camp. Rate cuts are not currently part of the discussion, and the next move could still be higher if inflation and cost pressures fail to ease. That more hawkish stance has ultimately helped support the AUDUSD today.T
USDCAD trades in a narrow range with the selling capped vs a swing area and buyers supported by the 100 day MA.
The USDCAD is trading in a very narrow 16-pip range today, with buyers and sellers battling for control near a key technical support level. That is not a lot of movement, and at some point the range will break. Traders will then look for momentum in the direction of that break.The broader bias remains tilted to the dow
What are the technicals in the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD telling traders to start the NA session
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
ADP weekly NER pulse 8.25K vs 15K prior
Prior was 15.0KFor the four weeks ending July 25, 2026, US private employers added an average of 8,250 jobs a week down from 15,000 last week.What is this release?Initiated in late 2025, ADP releases the NER Pulse, an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average. These release
investingLive European FX news wrap: RBA holds steady, Iran-Oman close to Hormuz deal
US July NFIB small business optimism index 99.8 vs 97.5 expectedAnother cargo ship reportedly struck by the Houthis in the Red SeaUK stats office to only decide in July next year on plausibility of transition to improved labour market dataItaly trade surplus widens to €4.2 billion in June as exports accelerateThe S&P 5
US July NFIB small business optimism index 99.8 vs 97.5 expected
Prior was 97.4Full report hereOptimism among US small business owners strengthened further in July, with the NFIB index rising 2.4 points to 99.8. The reading moved above the index’s 52-year average of 98.0 and reached its highest level since August 2025.The July increase was broad-based, with eight of the index’s 10 c
Another cargo ship reportedly struck by the Houthis in the Red Sea
Maritime security sources and coast guards in the region are reporting that a cargo ship has been targeted in the Red Sea, in the Bab al-Mandab strait. The sources are reporting that the deck of the cargo ship was struck and that three persons were killed in the attack.This just keeps the tensions up with not just the
UK stats office to only decide in July next year on plausibility of transition to improved labour market data
This builds on the previous story here: ONS to only lay groundwork for labour market statistical improvements in AugustFor some backdrop, this has been an ongoing issue for well over three years now. The issue with UK labour market data is more of the accuracy and consistency during the past few years, largely due to t
Italy trade surplus widens to €4.2 billion in June as exports accelerate
Italy’s trade balance recorded a €4.23 billion surplus in June 2026, with both exports and imports increasing on a monthly and annual basis, according to seasonally adjusted data.Exports rose 1.6% m/m, while imports increased by 1.2%. The stronger export performance was driven primarily by trade with EU countries, wher
The S&P 500 rally stalls as US-Iran deal gets delayed and the focus shifts to the US CPI report
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW The strong rally in the S&P 500 has stalled last Wednesday as the US-Iran deal failed to materialise within the expected timeline. Since then, the price action has been mostly rangebound with just softer than expected NFP reportproviding some support. The data triggered a dovish repricing in intere
Yen buying likely to stay more muted for the time being - MUFG
Despite the joint intervention move by Japan and the US, it doesn't seem to be sticking all too much. USD/JPY is already on its way back up in pushing above 159 this week, though I would argue that traders will remain a bit more cautious in chasing a move above 160 for now.While the combined effort between Japan and th
Gold extends the rally after the soft NFP, but the US CPI could wipe out all the gains
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Gold extended into new highs yesterday as a soft NFP report on Friday led to a dovish repricing in Fed interest rate expectations. Overall, the data wasn’t as bad as the headline number suggested. The significant loss of government jobs made the report look much softer than it actually was. In fact
Oil price prediction: Crude holds above $82 as bulls target a breakout past $82.55
Oil price prediction: Crude holds near breakout highs, but $82.55 is the line bulls need to clearCrude oil futures remain technically bullish after surging from the high-$77s into the low-$82s, although consolidation near the highs shows that buyers have yet to secure a clean continuation.Based on user-supplied CL SEP2
What are the main events for today?
EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we don't have much on the agenda other than the Italian trade balance. The data is not going to change anything for the ECB, so the market reaction will be muted. The price action will likely remain mostly rangebound as traders await the US CPI report, but we could also see some
FX option expiries for 11 August 10am New York cut
There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day, with the full list seen below.Markets are continuing to stay in the countdown to the US CPI report tomorrow. That is the main event this week and as such, major currencies are also more or less caught in a bind until we get to the data release.The lack of expi
RBA governor Bullock: We did not discuss a rate cut at this meeting, only a rate hike or to hold
Sees upside risks to inflationExpects a period of subdued economic growth will be required to bring inflation downReady to raise cash rate again if neededNot ruling out further rate hikes, need more informationThe board discussed raising the cash rate todayDid not discuss a rate cut, only a rate hike or a stayThinking
Bitcoin analysis shows the crypto king holds near $64k as order flow improves, but $65k remains the real test
Bitcoin price analysis: BTC is still damaged, but sellers are losing efficiency near $64,000Bitcoin futures remain structurally bearish after the sharp August 10 breakdown, but the latest order-flow evidence is becoming more constructive. Sellers were aggressive around $63,865-$64,000, yet struggled to push price mater
Singapore doubles 2026 growth outlook to 4.5-5.5% on tech cycle upgrade
Singapore's sharp upgrade to its 2026 growth forecast, more than doubling the top end of its previous range, signals that the AI investment boom is now doing more work in the region's growth outlook than the Middle East conflict is doing damage, a rebalancing that matters for how traders price broader Asian growth expo
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